Excessive Praise
By: Mr. Wilson on
February 13, 2008
I can't help but feel that all of this praise for Nebraska's Democratic caucus -- such as the LJS' enthusiastic editorial -- is overdone. It apparently was a huge success, and from the sounds of it, most participants had a great time. (But not Cindy Wieger.) Perhaps more importantly, Nebraska even managed to be talked about in the national media. It has been a while since anybody gave a hoot about Nebraskans' choice for presidential candidate.
Still, I'm not ready to declare the caucus a long-term winner. A big part of its success was due, not to the process, but to the candidates. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are having an energizing effect on voters, whereas the Republican candidates are, well, boring, and the fact that John McCain is the front-runner is causing the right wing of the party to sink into depression. It's easy to make the news when you're making news. The difficult part is sustaining the momentum. If Nebraska's Democrats can one day be competitive in November ... well, that'd be something to really talk about.
The LJS makes the claim that:
... there’s little doubt that the [Democratic] party found new energy and connected with people who only days ago were outside the system.That's likely true. But what about the 34,000 people who voted in the 2004 primary but who didn't participate this year? Who are those people, why didn't they participate, and what effect did their absence have on the outcome? Few people seem to be publicly asking those important questions. It's entirely plausible that certain demographic voting patterns were skewed by the caucus. If I were a party person, I would want to know more about those missing participants, and what effect they might have in the general election. (Then again, maybe I'm blowing things out of proportion. Surely long-time caucus states have looked at such patterns of participation and non-participation before. I wonder what they found?) In the end, I do think the Nebraska Democrats deserve a pat on the back for bringing a little enthusiasm to the state in this looooong election season. Beyond that, in my opinion the jury is still out.