Chance vs. Skill

July 29, 2009 at 1:00pm By: Mr. Wilson Posted in The Lincolnite Blog

We really need to come up with some objective measures to determine if a game is one of chance or skill. That way we won’t have to leave people hanging for ages while state officials bicker about a game’s legality, as with Bank Shot. The basic test is this: if you can get good at it, it’s a game of skill. If practice is pointless, it’s a game of chance. Can those simple rules be turned into a fair and reasonable objective test?

Maybe you take 15 people and give them the equivalent of 100 plays of the game in order to learn and practice. Then you compare those 15 people against 15 new people over 100 more plays. If the first group consistently outplays the second group, you’ve got yourself a game of skill. If not, it’s a game of chance.

What kind of test would you use to determine if a game is legal or not?

That’s really just half the issue. The next question is what we should do about taxing games like Bank Shot. It isn’t being taxed like a gambling game even though it competes with gambling games. Should we fix that? How might we fix it without lumping it in with Ms. Pac-Man or those claw games?

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Law Dog August 7, 2009 at 3:53pm

Gambling is defined by three elements, (1) chance,

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